The Failure of Investment Strategy to Earn Outperform Investment Return on Equity Mutual Funds in ASEAN Market (A Study to Improve Performance Evaluation Model and to Enhance Implementation of Investment Strategy)

Tito Edwin Hasudungan Hutabarat, Poltak Sinaga, John Tampil Purba, Anton Wachidin Widjaja

Abstract


Traditional approach in implementation of investment strategy in managing equity mutual funds is no longer enough to earn outperform return in the volatile market. This research proposed empirical evidences that none of equity mutual funds were traded in ASEAN market during period January 2015 to December 2020 could continuously earn outperform return. This because the implementation of the determined strategy, whether active investment strategy or passive investment strategy, without significant stock selection ability and market timing ability. This research proposes to enhance the methodology of implementation of the determined investment strategy by implementing significant stock selection ability and market timing ability. Furthermore, a continuous monitoring on the market condition, fund performance as well as performances of the underlying assets are necessary to do especially if the changes in all of these variables may change the investment risks therefore certain action shall be taken not only to avoid investment loss but more importantly is to earn outperform return.


Keywords


investment strategy; passive strategy; active strategy; stock selection; market timing

Full Text:

PDF

References


Agarwal, P., & Pradhan, H. (2019). Mutual Fund PErformance in Changing Economic Condition: Evidence from an Emerging Economic. Cogent Economics & Finance, 7(1), 1-24.

Akperov, I., Brukhanova, N., & Dynnik, D. (2018). Directions of Complex Regional Socio-Economic Development Based on Cognitive Modeling and Realization of Investment Strategy... on Theory and Application of Fuzzy. Retrieved from http://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04164-9_56

Alsharif, D., & Ahmad, S. (2021). Performance Evaluation: Islamic Mutual Funds Vs. Conventional Mutual Funds in Saudi Arabia. Palarch's Journal of Archaeology of Egypt/Egyptology 18 (13), 899-909.

Anadu, K., Kruttli, M., McCabe, P., Osambela, O., & Shin, C. H. (2018). The Shift from Active to Passive Investing: Risks to Financial Stability. Finance and Economic Discussion Series 2018-06; Board of Governors of The Federal Reserve System https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.060.

Ang, A., Goetzmann, W. N., & Schaefer, S. M. (2011). The Efficient Market Theory and Evidence: Implications for Active Investment Management. Foundation and Trends in Finance: Vol. 5: no.3, 157-242.

Bandono, B., Pasaribu, S. H., Nuryartono, N., Fariyanti, A., Yusdianto, S., Anggraenie, T., . . . Ardiyanti, H. (2020). The Impacts of General Mutual Funds and Macroeconomic Factors on the Performance of an Infrastructure Oriented Mutual Fund in Indonesia. Jakarta: Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK).

Becirovic, D., & Kozarevic, E. (2018). Influence of Frontier Capital markets Interdependence and Efficiency on Shapping Investment Strategy under The Financial Crisis Condition. Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Investment, https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/193885.

Beslin, I. (2019). Returns of Active vs. Passive Strategies of Portfolio management: A Systematic Review. Vienna: Lauder Business School (LBS).

Birla, R. (2012). Determinant of the Success of Active vs. Passive Investment Strategy. University of Albany: Business/Business Administration.

Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. (2017). Essential of Investment Tenth Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill education.

Chen, D.-H. (2013). Market Timing and Stock Selection Ability of Mutual Fund Managers in Taiwan: Applying the Traditional and Conditional Approaches. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. IV Issue 1, 75-98.

Dadashi, H. (2020). Optimal Investment Strategy Post Retirement Without Ruin Possibility: A Numerical Algorithm. Journal of Computational and Applied Matemathics, https://www.sciencedirect.com/ science/article/pii/S0377042719301001.

Devi, F., & Sudirman, I. M. (2021). The Effect of Stock Selection Ability, Market Timing Ability, Fund Size and Portfolio Turnover on Equity Fund Performance in Indonesia. American Journal of Humanities and Social Science (AJHSSR), Vol. 5, Issue-3, 55-64.

Doblas, M., Enriquez, J., & Lagara, M. C. (2020). Price to Earnings and Price to Book Ratios as Determinants of Stock Return: The Case of Financial Institution Listed in Bahrain Bourse. Journal of Applied Economic Science Vol XV, Fal 3 (69), 532-539.

Fahling, E. J., Steurer, E., & Sauer, S. (2019). Active Vs. Passive Funds - An Empirical Analysis of the German Equity Market. Journal of Financial Risk Management, 8, 73-91.

Ferreira, M. A., Keswani, A., Miguel, A. F., & Ramos, S. B. (2012). The Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance a Cross-Country Study. Review of Finance, 1-43.

Ferreira, R., & Carvalhal, A. (2017). Market Timing of Equity Funds in Brazil. Corporate Ownership & Control, 15(1-1), 193-198.

Glabadanidis, P. (2020). Portfolio Strategies to Track and Outpeform of a Benchmark. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Vol.13, 171.

Ghorbani, N., & Korzeniowski, A. (2021). Call and put option pricing with discrete linear investment strategy. ArXiv Preprint ArXiv:2110.04676. https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.04676

Gusni, Silviana, & Hamdani, F. (2018). Factors Affective Equity Mutual Fund Performance: Evidence from Indonesia. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15 (1), 1-9.

Gyimah, A. G., Addai, B., & Asamoah, G. K. (2021). Macroeconomic Determinants of Mutual Funds Performance in Ghana. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9.1., 1-20.

Han, B., & Hirshleifer, D. A. (2015). Self-Enhancing Transmission Bias and Active Investing.

Jensen, M. C. (1968). The Problem in Selection of Security Portfolio. The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-196. The Journal of Finance, 23, 389-416.

Jian, G. J., Zayutdinova, G. R., & Zhang, H. (2021). Stock-Selection Timing. Journal of Banking and Finance Vol. 121.

Juddoo, K., Malki, I., Mathew, S., Sivaprasad, Sheeja (2021). An Investment Strategy Based on Impact. Available at SSRN at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3838908

Jiang, G. J., Yao, T., & Yu, T. (2007). Do Mutual Funds Time the Market? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings. Journal of Financial Economics Vol 86.

Kang, E., Kim, R., & Oh, S. (2019). Dividend Yields, Stock Returns and Reputation. ACRN Jornal fo Finance and Risk Perspective 8, 95-105.

Lailiyah, E. H., & Setiawan, R. (2020). Stock Selectivity, Market Timing Ability, Risk, Size, and Comparison of Performance Sharia Mutual Funds. Jurnal Ekonomi Islam Volume 9, Issue 2, 137-150.

Lucas, S., & Sanz, A. (2016). Pick Your Battles: The Intersection of Investment Strategy, Tax, and Compounding Returns. The Journal of Wealth Management. https://jwm.pm-research.com/ content/ 19/2/9/tab-pdf-trialist

Mahmood, F., & Rubbaniy, G. (2016). An Analysis of the USA Mutual Funds Sector: What Determines Performances. The Lahore Journal of Business, Vol. 5, No.1, 59-74.

Mehta, N., Pothula, V. K., & ... (2019). A value investment strategy that combines security selection and market timing signals. Available at SSRN. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3451859

Otten, R., & Bams, D. (2002). European Mutual Fund Performance. European Financial Management, Vol.8, No.1, 75-101.

Panigrahi, A., Karwa, P., & Joshi, P. (2019). Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Performance of Mutual Funds: A Selective Study. Journal of Economic Policy & Research, Vol. 15, No.1, 29-43.

Rao-Nicholson, R., & Svystunova, L. (2020). Assessing the Role of Host Country Human Rights Protection on Multinational Enterprises’ Choice of Investment Strategy. Management International Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11575-020-00413-y

Safitri, Y., Mertha, I. M., Wirawati, N. G., & Dewi, A. (2020). The Impact of Debt to Equity Ration, Price Earning Ration, Earning Per Share to The Stock Price on Banking Sectors Listed in Infobank15 Index 2014-2018. American Journal of Humanities and Social Science Research (AJHSSR) Vol 4, Issue 5, 49-56.

Setiawan, S. A. (2020). Does Macroeconomic Condition Matter for Stock Market. Evidence of Indonesia Stock Market Performance for 21 Years. The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning Vol. 1, No.1, 27- 39.

Sherman, M., O'Sullivan, N., & Gao, J. (2017). The Market-Timing Ability of Chinese Equity Securities Investment Funds. International Journal of Financial Studies, 1-18.

Skuciene, D., & Markeviciute, J. (2021). Social Risks and Class in the Baltic States: Insights for Social Investment Strategy. Journal of Developing …. https://doi.org/10.1177/0169796X21999306

Stern, N. H., Unsworth, S., Valero, A., Zenghelis, D., Rydge, J., & ... (2020). Strategy, investment and policy for a strong and sustainable recovery: an action plan. cep.lse.ac.uk. https://cep.lse.ac.uk/ pubs/download/ cepcovid-19-005.pdf

Sushko, V., & Turner, G. (2018). The Implications of Passive Investing for Securities Markets. BIS Quarterly Review, 113-131.

Syardiansah, et al. (2020). The Effect of Job Satisfaction and Organizational Culture on Employee Performance of the Royal Hotel in East Aceh District. Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal). P. 849-857.

Tangjitprom, N. (2014). The Effect of Fund Size on Performance: The Evidence from Active Equity Mutual Funds in Thailand. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting Vol. 5, No.10, 82-86.

Treynor, J. L., & Mazuy, K. (1966). Can Mutual Funds Outguess the Market? Harvard Business Review, 44(4), 131-136.

Van der Hart, J., Slatger, E., & van Dijk, D. (. (2003). Stock Selection Strategies in Emerging Markets. Journal of Empirical Finance, 10(1-2), 205-132.

Wahjudewanti, A.S., Tjakraatmaja, J.H., and Anggoro, Y. (2021). Knowledge Management Strategies to Improve Learning and Growth in Creative Industries: A Framework Model. Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal) Vol 4 (2): 1903-1915.

Woltering, R. O., Weis, C., Schindler, F., & ... (2018). Capturing the value premium–global evidence from a fair value-based investment strategy. Journal of Banking. https://www.sciencedirect.com/ science/ article/pii/S0378426617301334




DOI: https://doi.org/10.33258/birci.v5i1.3855

Article Metrics

Abstract view : 110 times
PDF - 56 times

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

 

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.